posterior probability

noun

1. statistics the probability assigned to some parameter or to an event on the basis of its observed frequency in a sample, and calculated from a prior probability by Bayes' theorem Compare prior probability See also empirical

Example Sentences

Plug all these into a Bayesian formula, and out comes the answer: the posterior probability that we are living in base reality is almost the same as the posterior probability that we are a simulation—with the odds tilting in favor of base reality by just a smidgen.

From Scientific American

Combining the Jeffreys prior with the sparse evidence of the emergence and intelligence of life on Earth, Kipping obtained a posterior probability distribution, which allowed him to calculate new odds for the four corners.

From Scientific American

Finally, they combine the prior and the evidence to calculate what is called a posterior probability.

From Scientific American

Given such assumptions, the geophysical and paleontological evidence of life’s genesis on Earth and what evolutionary theory says about the emergence of intelligent life, Turner and Spiegel were able to calculate different posterior probability distributions for abiogenesis.

From Scientific American

We tested five genomic predictors: CADD19, DANN41, transcription-factor-binding site annotations, PhyloP scores15 and one aggregated feature: the posterior probability from a multivariate logistic regression model learned with all genomic annotations.

From Nature